Natural Gas Market Size, Trends, and Growth Forecast (2024-2031)
The global natural gas market has been experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing energy demands, industrialization, urbanization, and a global shift towards cleaner energy sources. According to Kings Research, the oil and gas market size was valued at USD 6,705.68 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 8,917.40 billion by 2031, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.68% from 2024 to 2031.
Market Trends
Several key trends are shaping the natural gas market:
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Infrastructure Development: The completion of natural gas pipeline projects in 2024 increased the U.S. takeaway capacity by 17.8 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd), enhancing the transportation of natural gas from production areas to demand centers.
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Rising Demand in Asia: Fast-growing Asian markets are expected to account for nearly 45% of the incremental gas demand in 2024, primarily driven by industrial activity and higher gas use in the power sector.
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Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Growth: The global renewable natural gas market is projected to grow from USD 14.03 billion in 2024 to USD 24.23 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 8.1%, indicating a strong shift towards sustainable energy solutions.
Market Demand
Global gas demand is forecast to rise by more than 2.5% in 2024, with similar growth expected in 2025. This increase is largely supported by industrial activity and higher gas use in the power sector, especially in Asia. In the United States, natural gas usage is expected to remain at record highs, driven by increasing liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand and power consumption from data centers supporting artificial intelligence.
Market Dynamics
The natural gas market is influenced by various dynamics:
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Supply Constraints: Despite the rising demand, supply struggles to keep pace. The U.S. is projected to produce 105.2 bcfd in 2025; however, insufficient pipeline infrastructure poses challenges, leading to delays and increased costs in projects like EQT's Mountain Valley pipeline.
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Technological Advancements: Enhanced drilling technologies, such as longer lateral drilling and multi-well pads, are contributing significantly to production growth, particularly in regions like the Permian Basin.
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Policy and Regulatory Factors: Energy policies emphasizing diverse and secure energy sources, including natural gas, are shaping the market landscape. For instance, the U.S. energy strategy focuses on increasing energy supply through innovation in fossil fuels, advanced nuclear, and other technologies.
Future Outlook
The future of the natural gas market appears robust:
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Production Growth: The Permian Basin is projected to increase oil output from 13.14 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.64 million barrels per day in 2025, with dry gas production expected to rise to 106.8 bcfd in 2025.
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LNG Export Capacity: The U.S. LNG capacity is anticipated to nearly double by 2028, reinforcing its position as a leading LNG exporter.
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Renewable Integration: The integration of renewable natural gas into the energy mix is expected to enhance sustainability efforts, with the RNG market projected to reach USD 24.23 billion by 2031.
Key Market Players
Several key players are instrumental in shaping the natural gas market:
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Tenaris: A leading supplier of tubes and related services for the energy industry.
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TMK Group: A global manufacturer and supplier of steel pipes for the oil and gas industry.
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Mott MacDonald: A global engineering, management, and development consultancy.
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ConocoPhillips Company: An American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration.
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Chevron Corporation: One of the world's largest oil companies, involved in every aspect of the natural gas industry.
Market Segmentation
The natural gas market is segmented based on various factors:
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By Type: Includes crude oil pipelines and natural gas pipelines. The crude oil pipeline segment is expected to hold a significant share due to its role in transporting unrefined oil from extraction sites to refineries.
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By Stream: Comprises midstream and downstream sectors. The midstream sector, involving transportation and storage, is expected to dominate due to the need for significant infrastructure like long-distance pipelines and storage facilities.
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By Application: Encompasses onshore and offshore activities. The offshore segment is anticipated to dominate, given the strategic location of many oil and gas reservoirs offshore and advancements in subsea systems and deepwater drilling.
Recent Developments
Several recent developments are noteworthy:
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Pipeline Capacity Expansion: In 2024, natural gas pipeline projects in the U.S. increased the takeaway capacity significantly, supporting production growth and ensuring stable supply chains.
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Innovations in LNG Technology: The industry is investing heavily in floating LNG terminals and modular LNG plants to enhance production flexibility and cater to growing global demand.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Many leading companies are focusing on reducing carbon emissions by integrating carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies in natural gas operations.
Regional Analysis
The natural gas market exhibits varying growth patterns across different regions:
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North America: The U.S. remains a dominant player due to its vast shale gas reserves and expanding LNG export capacity. Canada also contributes significantly, with increasing investments in LNG projects.
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Europe: The region is shifting towards LNG imports to reduce dependency on Russian gas supplies, driving investments in LNG terminals and pipeline infrastructure.
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Asia-Pacific: Countries like China, India, and Japan are witnessing increased natural gas consumption, driven by industrialization and efforts to transition to cleaner energy sources.
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Middle East & Africa: The region continues to expand its gas production capacity, with Qatar leading the LNG export market.
Conclusion
The global natural gas market is poised for significant growth between 2024 and 2031, driven by rising demand, technological advancements, and expanding infrastructure. Key industry players are focusing on innovation and sustainability to meet the evolving market demands. With ongoing developments in LNG technology and renewable natural gas, the industry is set to play a crucial role in the global energy transition.
For more detailed insights, visit Kings Research's- https://www.kingsresearch.com/natural-gas-market-1447
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