NFC Championship Props Predictions Odds and Best Bets for the Rams-Seahawk
The Seahawks are led by an explosive pa sing attack and dominant defense, while the Rams are simply solid in all phases of the game. For context, the Rams finished with DVOA's best offense and fourth-best defense and was the only team ranked in the top 5 in both categories. The Rams also did not lose a single game by two-scores the entire season. These two teams split their regular season meetings, with the Rams winning the first matchup in November on the heels of forcing Sam Darnold into four interceptions, while it looked like they were going to cruise to another victory until the late comeback by the Seahawks referenced earlier Chris Simon Jersey . Despite the Seahawks win over the Rams in Week 16, the reality is Darnold has played eight total quarters against this Rams defense, and played poorly in seven out of those eight quarters. They scored a combined 35 points in the first seven quarters (Qs 1-4 in game 1 and Qs 1-3 in the second game), and then 24 points in the last quarter + overtime. While the Seahawks had a top three defense based on any metric you could look at, we did see Matthew Stafford shred them in that Week 16 game, which was played in Seattle. He finished with 457 pa sing yards and three pa sing TDs with, unsurprisingly, the majority of that work going to Rams superstar WR Puka Nacua. He finished that game with 12 receptions for 225 yards and two touchdowns. Davante Adams also mi sed that game for the Rams. What it comes down to is having a tough time trusting Darnold in a big spot, and the gue s here is that the Rams are able to force him into multiple turnovers. He threw a combined six interceptions in those two regular season games, and that is enough to lead the Rams to an upset in Seattle. The Pick: Rams +2.5 (-105) BetMGM As far as a player prop goes, we like to record more than 13.5 receiving yards, offered at -120 odds at BetMGM. It was the tale of three seasons for Williams and his receiving prop, as he cashed this in five out of his first six games of the year, then went under in an astounding eight straight games before going over in his last five games, which includes the two Rams playoff games. So, taking a step back, he has gone over this number in 10 of 19 games this year, averaging 17.3 receiving yards per game. In his last five games, he is averaging 24.4 receiving yards per game, and one of those games he went over was this exact matchup against the Seahawks when he had 15 receiving yards on six targets. As good as this Seahawks defense is, one area in which they were weak was guarding running back receiving props. They allowed the highest target share go to the running back position, and the sixth-most receiving yards to running backs specifically. With this spread being 2.5-points in the Seahawks favor, the gue s here is that this game will be close regardle s. That is important, as if we look at every Rams game that was within 14 points either way, he went over in nine of 13 games. Meaning, in the close games he went over more often than not, and we like for that to continue on Sunday. Player Prop: Kyren Williams over 13.5 receiving yards (-120) BetMGM Claude Lemieux Jersey
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